Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.058485e+00 1.318492 1.605703 1.943535 2.327083 2.746186 3.235914
2025-06-01 7.433362e-01 1.092645 1.519514 2.066071 2.734003 3.511163 4.471003
2025-06-08 4.974391e-01 0.873233 1.382098 2.087407 3.006510 4.132646 5.585222
2025-06-15 3.686005e-01 0.765447 1.354584 2.226713 3.421750 4.943582 6.968820
2025-06-22 2.647834e-01 0.658335 1.299687 2.310079 3.758505 5.665621 8.271042
2025-06-29 1.834411e-01 0.556621 1.226793 2.348411 4.024964 6.299431 9.478690
2025-07-06 1.157091e-01 0.448236 1.115434 2.306152 4.163053 6.757140 10.463605
2025-07-13 7.709595e-02 0.381617 1.058789 2.336208 4.399292 7.349996 11.639301
2025-07-20 4.949583e-02 0.323844 1.003123 2.355857 4.613616 7.913047 12.784264
2025-07-27 2.705455e-02 0.259086 0.914425 2.302591 4.704351 8.295772 13.685019
2025-08-03 1.339480e-02 0.206418 0.835177 2.252015 4.789538 8.666421 14.571750
2025-08-10 6.784882e-03 0.173948 0.793703 2.265064 4.975199 9.187080 15.678257
2025-08-17 2.197425e-03 0.134920 0.721769 2.209993 5.046294 9.544661 16.573248
2025-08-24 1.007531e-03 0.123542 0.726397 2.313740 5.396342 10.339327 18.119548
2025-08-31 1.828146e-04 0.101692 0.688939 2.321274 5.575845 10.874251 19.298004
2025-09-07 4.941451e-05 0.097450 0.710766 2.462615 6.000846 11.803393 21.073156
2025-09-14 9.985958e-07 0.087691 0.708395 2.547466 6.325635 12.581211 22.637289
2025-09-21 NaN 0.074848 0.687747 2.586126 6.565525 13.228347 24.016942
2025-09-28 NaN 0.057259 0.635340 2.539786 6.641750 13.612328 25.007114
2025-10-05 NaN 0.047960 0.615508 2.571271 6.865447 14.238385 26.370307
2025-10-12 NaN 0.039408 0.592994 2.591929 7.067120 14.830613 27.688731
2025-10-19 NaN 0.028458 0.544491 2.534884 7.111238 15.161564 28.611454
2025-10-26 NaN 0.020014 0.500105 2.480770 7.155863 15.491573 29.535172